Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 2.158818 2.488672 2.858206 3.304011 3.828763 4.428629 5.168896
2025-03-09 1.669660 2.105526 2.645210 3.367674 4.317187 5.533117 7.225078
2025-03-16 1.378679 1.843146 2.457294 3.338700 4.587445 6.317716 8.939558
2025-03-23 1.185398 1.660080 2.321622 3.326196 4.840085 7.080269 10.729165
2025-03-30 1.028382 1.496933 2.179301 3.266206 4.993020 7.697951 12.392611
2025-04-06 0.932409 1.405623 2.122967 3.316922 5.309228 8.601409 14.671057
2025-04-13 0.827325 1.284987 2.002961 3.244158 5.405725 9.149509 16.432907
2025-04-20 0.781743 1.251096 2.013299 3.382711 5.874277 10.404502 19.727504
2025-04-27 0.716586 1.176729 1.946601 3.376930 6.081141 11.213978 22.321814
2025-05-04 0.679684 1.145109 1.947378 3.489013 6.519300 12.529487 26.229583
2025-05-11 0.632475 1.090014 1.899839 3.503613 6.768415 13.507246 29.617835
2025-05-18 0.589643 1.037974 1.851445 3.508923 6.997217 14.477580 33.203735
2025-05-25 0.536820 0.967912 1.772441 3.465804 7.168571 15.468007 37.395377
2025-06-01 0.500551 0.926086 1.744752 3.529793 7.600062 17.180485 44.065566
2025-06-08 0.459011 0.868667 1.678176 3.499408 7.810726 18.416208 49.862014
2025-06-15 0.424284 0.820475 1.623714 3.486224 8.058538 19.802387 56.573618
2025-06-22 0.389174 0.767410 1.552285 3.423011 8.171409 20.864824 62.687990
2025-06-29 0.367648 0.740074 1.532190 3.476452 8.591688 22.870428 72.617118
2025-07-06 0.338291 0.692839 1.462700 3.399780 8.653768 23.873339 79.521105
2025-07-13 0.327811 0.685433 1.481562 3.545784 9.356381 26.971949 95.361047
2025-07-20 0.307907 0.654902 1.443453 3.539690 9.626595 28.801942 107.154679
2025-07-27 0.297451 0.644661 1.451838 3.657827 10.289471 32.103005 126.578463
2025-08-03 0.281748 0.620606 1.424010 3.673217 10.643209 34.460181 143.111643